February 12, 2008

Deficit Campaigning

As of tonight, Hillary Clinton is deficit campaigning. The pendulum has now officially swung; the numbers are now officially on Barack Obama's side.


  • The Popular Vote: Obama is in the lead. Even Hillary Clinton's 400,000 vote lead from Michigan and Florida (itself unfair because those state elections donn't really count) was wiped out by today's DC-VA-MD primaries.

  • The Total Delegates (elected by voters and 'superdelegates'): Obama has 1,306, Clinton has 1,270 (MSNBC Projections). This sudden 36 delegate difference is significant.
  • The States: Hillary has won 10 states, Obama has won 21 states plus a certain district (of Columbia, that is)
  • The Margin: Barack got a huge one over Hillary in DC, MD and VA. And Obama won on every issue and in every demographic vote.
  • The 'Mo': With eight wins in a row over the last four days, Obama clearly has the momentum, and is now moving toward front-runner status.


According to New York Times frontpage reporting today, Clinton campaign insiders are saying that they would have to win by 60% or more in Texas and Ohio to get back on top of the delegate counts.

Election Watching Geek Tip: For those trying to figure out the delegate count and get a clear overview of the election and its nuances, Chuck Todd is God (MSNBC). John King of CNN just can't compare.

P.S. Jeranimo, you better be reading this. I dedicate this one to you!

P.P.S. Many thanks to Melissa for the updates throughout the day from the DC primary.

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